Research model, not a validated betting model. Scores, spreads, totals and win probabilities come from game-projection-v1.2 using football data only (nflverse play-by-play, injuries, starters, weather). Sportsbook lines are compared afterward and are never inputs. The official projection for each game is the latest one made before kickoff; it is locked at kickoff and graded. Prospective tracking started 2026 Week 7.

2026 Week 2 game projections

16 games · 0 with a projection · loaded Sat, Nov 7, 8:24 PM CT

Sportsbook lines: not available for this week yet.

← Week 1 Week 3 →

Last model update: Thu, Nov 5, 4:46 PM CT 2 d ago
Last sportsbook line update: Thu, Nov 5, 4:18 PM CT 2 d ago

Games

16 gamesNo market lines yet, so games are in kickoff order.
MatchupSpreadTotalWinConfidence
GameProjected scoreFairMarketEdgeCover %FairMarketEdgeO/U %Win %MoneylineReliabilityStatus
Thu, Sep 17, 7:15 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 3:05 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 3:05 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Sun, Sep 20, 7:20 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
Mon, Sep 21, 7:15 PM CT
No projection yet · projections run Tue 7 PM, Thu 9 AM, Sat 7 PM and Sun 10:30 AM CT
  1. DET @ BUF

    Thu, Sep 17, 7:15 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final DET 31 – BUF 41
  2. CAR @ ATL

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final CAR 34 – ATL 3
  3. NO @ BAL

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final NO 24 – BAL 17
  4. MIN @ CHI

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final MIN 9 – CHI 3
  5. CIN @ HOU

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final CIN 20 – HOU 6
  6. PIT @ NE

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final PIT 3 – NE 20
  7. GB @ NYJ

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final GB 20 – NYJ 17
  8. CLE @ TB

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final CLE 23 – TB 19
  9. PHI @ TEN

    Sun, Sep 20, 12:00 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final PHI 24 – TEN 20
  10. JAX @ DEN

    Sun, Sep 20, 3:05 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final JAX 13 – DEN 20
  11. LV @ LAC

    Sun, Sep 20, 3:05 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final LV 26 – LAC 14
  12. SEA @ ARI

    Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final SEA 31 – ARI 7
  13. WAS @ DAL

    Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final WAS 20 – DAL 37
  14. MIA @ SF

    Sun, Sep 20, 3:25 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final MIA 13 – SF 35
  15. IND @ KC

    Sun, Sep 20, 7:20 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final IND 30 – KC 33
  16. NYG @ LA

    Mon, Sep 21, 7:15 PM CT
    No projection yet · Final NYG 6 – LA 28

Edge = the gap between the model's fair line and the market consensus, shown toward the side the model rates higher than the market does (calculation unchanged). Model cover % and Model O/U % are the model's probabilities for the side it prefers at the market line (pushes excluded), next to the market's no-vig probability. Green = spread edge and cover probability (brighter as it grows: 2–4, 4–6, 6+ pts; 53–56%, 56–60%, 60%+); teal = Over, light blue = Under; gray = market reference values. Win probability includes the simulated tie; the moneyline comparison excludes ties because books refund them. Theoretical EV is in each game's expanded view only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation.